Journal Of Contemporary Economic Studies
The Journal of Contemporary Economic Studies (JOCES) is an international, peer-reviewed academic platform published semi-annually (June and December) by the University of Mohamed Boudiaf - M'Sila, Algeria, since its inception in 2016. Dedicated to fostering high-quality research, the journal implements a rigorous Double-Blind Peer Review process to ensure academic integrity and excellence. JOCES is indexed in several prestigious national and international databases, ensuring wide visibility and impact for published works. The journal welcomes original and innovative contributions in Arabic and English, covering a broad spectrum of fields including Economics, Management, Trade, Finance, and Accounting, as well as all studies related to contemporary economic realities. Operating under an Open Access policy with a CC BY-NC 4.0 license, JOCES provides an interactive research environment that supports scholars and professionals in elevating their scientific output to a global standard. Journal Identity Data: Publisher: University of Mohamed Boudiaf - M'Sila, Algeria. Established: 2016. Publication Frequency: Semiannual. Languages: Arabic and English. Review Process: Double-Blind Peer Review. Scope: Economics, Management, Trade, Finance, and Accounting. P-ISSN: 2543-3644. E-ISSN: 2676-203X.
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Assessing the effectiveness of quantitative models in predicting financial distress compared to traditional financial indicators in the pharmaceutical industry
This study aimed to examine the effectiveness of the Altman, Kida, and Sherrod models in predicting financial failure compared to traditional financial indicators and ratios used in analyzing the financial position of institutions. To achieve this objective, the descriptive-analytical method was adopted, through a theoretical description and analysis of the study variables. In addition, an applied study was conducted on the data of Hydra PHARM for the years 2021, 2022, and 2023, by calculating traditional financial indicators and ratios along with the most well-known quantitative models for predicting financial failure. The study concluded that quantitative models for predicting financial failure are ineffective in achieving this purpose in light of recent developments and varying economic environments. In contrast, traditional financial indicators and ratios, despite their relative age, provide a more accurate reflection of an institution’s actual financial situation and highlight key aspects overlooked by quantitative models, regardless of changing conditions and environment.
Copyright (c) 2025 Journal Of Contemporary Economic Studies https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
Predicting household electricity consumption using data mining techniques -Deep neural networks LSTM-
The study addressed the topic of predicting electricity consumption using deep neural networks, which are one of the most effective methods in the field of data mining, as they process huge data with a time sequence. The study focused on the electricity consumption data of the residents of Ghardaïa State and identified the most important electricity tariffs that allow for rationalizing consumption and reducing the cost of the electricity bill. The study concluded that deep neural networks play an effective role in providing a future picture of electricity consumption from 2023Q4 to 2025Q4, with an explanatory power coefficient of 75% and a mean square error (MSE) of 25%. This means that the difference between actual and predicted values ​​is small, resulting in higher accuracy.
Evaluation and Analysis of the Impact of Knowledge Management as a Strategic Mechanism for Achieving Competitive Advantage _ A Case Study of Sonelgaz institution Médéa Branch_
This study aimed to evaluate and analyze the impact of knowledge management as a strategic mechanism for achieving competitive advantage, through a case study of Sonelgaz Institution Médéa Branch. Accordingly, the descriptive method was adopted in the theoretical part of the study to present the concepts and theoretical frameworks related to both knowledge management and competitive advantage. In the applied part, the analytical method was employed to analyze field data and test the hypotheses. Data relevant to this study were collected using a questionnaire distributed to a sample of 40 employees from the Sonelgaz Institution Médéa Branch. The collected data were analyzed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS). This study also concluded with a set of results, including that knowledge management with its four processes (knowledge acquisition, storage, distribution, and application) and competitive advantage are applied at acceptable levels in Sonelgaz Institution Médéa Branch.
Local governance as a mechanism to promote development at the local level
Local governance is considered one of the modern concepts that has garnered significant attention from the majority of countries due to its role in enhancing the performance of local communities. This is achieved through the provision and allocation of financial resources to sectors capable of improving the living standards of the local population and achieving local development in line with the aspirations and expectations of citizens. In light of this perspective, the present study examines the role of local governance as a key actor in realizing this developmental vision by assessing the effectiveness of its principles in promoting development at the local level. Our study concluded that there is no statistically significant relationship between local governance and achieving development at the local level, due to the lack of effective implementation of the principals of local governances in practice.
The Influence of the Entrepreneurial Passion on the Entrepreneurial Intention among University Students: The Mediating Role of the Entrepreneurial Self-efficacy
This study aims to identify the mediating influence of the entrepreneurial self-efficacy on the relationship between the entrepreneurial passion and the entrepreneurial intention among a sample of Master's students from the Faculty of Economics, Commercial, and Management Sciences at the University of Boumerdes / Algeria. In order to fulfil this aim, the PLS-SEM method was employed. The key findings of the study indicated positive and significant relationship between the entrepreneurial passion and the entrepreneurial intention among the students of the sample. Additionally, the results also showed that the entrepreneurial self-efficacy has a mediating influence on the relationship between the entrepreneurial passion and the entrepreneurial intention among the students of the study sample.
Activating the Electronic Health Record in Public Hospitals: Reality and Challenges of Implementation A Field Study at Al-Zahraoui Hospital in M'Sila
The primary objective of this research paper is to understand the reality of the electronic health record at the Zahraoui Public Hospital and to identify the most significant challenges and difficulties facing its use. We relied on a descriptive approach in our study, conducting several interviews with officials at the Zahraoui Public Hospital and distributing a questionnaire to a sample of 33 employees. The data were statistically processed using SPSSv26. Through this study, we concluded that the Sahraoui Public Hospital effectively implements the electronic health record at an acceptable level and provides all the necessary infrastructure and human resources. However, implementing the electronic health record faces several challenges, most notably financial, human, and technical challenges at an average level, which can be overcome by using blockchain technology and the national health identification number, developing a strong infrastructure, and training courses for human resources.
Copyright (c) 2026 Journal Of Contemporary Economic Studies https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
The Impact of Entrepreneurial Passion on Entrepreneurial Self-Efficacy among University Students: An Applied Study
This study aims to investigate the impact of entrepreneurial passion, with its dimensions of inventing, founding, and developing, on entrepreneurial self-efficacy among university students. The study hypotheses were tested on a simple random sample of third-year bachelor's degree students at the Faculty of Economics, Jijel University, which included (275) male and female students. The results revealed that entrepreneurial passion has a significant impact on entrepreneurial self-efficacy among students. Two dimensions of entrepreneurial passion (passion for inventing and passion for founding) contributed to this significant impact.
Economic Security as a mechanism to achieve Human Security - Theoritical Study -
The objective of this study is to focus on Economic Security theoretically and search the means of achieving human security, notably that the human has become since the 1993 a central concern for states, international organizations, and the global community. The principle of prioritizing the human above the state was founded through obligation of human rights, its: universality, indivisibility. Our study cares about human via his economic needs and rights, which cannot be divided or separated from his other own rights. Economic Security and Human Security cannot be separated, neither can exist independently. To illustrate, our theoretical research defines the concepts of economic security and determine their foundations and key components. We then clarify significance and targets of economic security with its connection to human and its security. Finally, we address the mechanisms for achieving economic security after clarification of the major challenges and obstacles.
Government policies to combat desertification and drought in the steppe regions of Algeria (2008-2020)
The study aimed to analyze the Algerian government policies aimed at combating desertification and drought in steppe areas during the period (2008-2020). Given the strategic importance of these areas, which represent an environmental and economic strip separating the arid desert south and the agricultural north. The study adopted a descriptive and analytical approach to diagnose the manifestations of desertification and drought and their natural and human causes. It also examined and analyzed the most important government programs and policies. Similar to the High Plateaus Development Programme, the Rural Renewal Policy, and the Integrated Rural Development Neighbourhood Projects aimed at protecting the land from degradation. The study concluded that these policies contributed to reducing some aspects of land degradation and improving the living conditions of the population. The results also showed that the success of these efforts depends on their integration with local development strategies and the involvement of local actors in implementation and follow-up.
The study aims to identify the Global Giving Index with its three sub-indices ;(helping strangers, donating money; and volunteering time). Accordingly Iraq recorded the highest degree of giving globally in (2016,2018, and 2023), which reflects increased awareness of social solidarity. Hence, its people are described as generous, the lowest (2019), fluctuating between high and low in (2017,2021,2022, and 2024) as a result of many challenges; population growth /weak legislation regulating volunteer work/lack of material and moral support /high rates of corruption, etc. The study reached several results, the most important of which; preparing a national strategy for volunteer work including it as an essential part of the specific goals and priorities, providing financial support, allocating a special budget for it, launching awareness campaigns about the importance of volunteer work, etc.
Small projects as a pillar for achieving local development in Algeria
This research aims to study the importance of small enterprises and their contribution to achieving sustainable local development in Algeria. It seeks to clarify the role these institutions can play in revitalizing the local economy, especially in light of the challenges facing the economic and social environment. This can be achieved through microfinance as one of the mechanisms to promote the role of micro-enterprises, particularly in local communities, to mitigate shocks at the local level. Our findings indicate that small enterprises still have a modest contribution compared to the experiences of other countries, primarily due to weak financing mechanisms and support systems. Through a study of the current situation, we found that there is only one official body (the National Agency for the Management of Microcredit, ANGEM). However, there is a promising future for microfinance inAlgeria .
The green economy and its role in achieving the luxury
This research aims to explore the nature of the green economy and the mechanisms for transitioning to it. This transition has become an urgent necessity due to the environmental degradation Iraq is experiencing. This deterioration is due to the rapid development of various industries, in addition to internal conflicts, wars, and resource depletion, which have led to the emergence of social, economic, and environmental problems that have negatively impacted the overall performance of the Iraqi economy. As Iraq strives to achieve a green economy, there is an urgent need for decision-makers to adopt effective legislation and laws aimed at protecting and sustaining the environment, and transferring environmentally friendly technologies to conserve natural resources. Multidimensional poverty must also be combated to remove obstacles to the transition to a green economy. Hence, the research focuses on examining the path of the green economy as a means of achieving social well-being in Iraq.
The Trade-off between Macroeconomic Policy Objectives: Reality and Challenges
Macroeconomic policy has garnered extensive scholarly attention due to its pivotal role in addressing economic imbalances. Within this framework, the Central Bank emerges as a primary actor, necessitating full autonomy in formulating and directing monetary policy. Such independence ensures the effectiveness of its instruments in stimulating economic growth, minimizing time lags, and averting conflicts of interest arising from government coordination. This study concludes that the efficiency of economic policy within the national economy is contingent upon establishing an institutional environment and structural conditions that mitigate restrictive factors, thereby ensuring the achievement of set economic objectives with minimal impediments.
Entrepreneurship in Algeria: Between wealth creation and social justice
This article explores the role of entrepreneurship in the Algerian economy, focusing on its potential to create wealth and promote social justice. The research adopts a descriptive-analytical approach supported by official data and national statistics, along with a review of local and international literature. Findings reveal that entrepreneurship significantly contributes to GDP through the support of small and medium-sized enterprises and the creation of new jobs, particularly for youth and women. The study also shows that the success of entrepreneurship in achieving social justice depends on the availability of a supportive regulatory environment, effective financing mechanisms, and programs targeting marginalized groups and remote regions. It concludes that entrepreneurship can serve as a dual-impact tool if managed through effective policies integrating both economic and social dimensions.
Importance of tourism investment in digital entrepreneurship projects and their role in supporting sustainable eco-tourism _Presentation of successful global models _
Most countries around the world have shifted their focus to eco-tourism in the tourism sector, using the latest digital tools to keep pace with the revolution in communication and information technologies and bring tourists closer to their destinations by providing sustainable tourism services. The research aims to highlight the extent which digital tourism entrepreneurship projects contribute to enhancing the status and attractiveness of tourist destinations for consumers who are aware of the importance of sustainable eco-tourism. After presenting the various aspects related to the research topic, we concluded that tourism investment in digital entrepreneurship projects is not a luxury but a strategic necessity, as it builds flexible eco-tourism based on innovation and creativity, supports the national economy by creating high added value and establishes the position of tourist destinations in the era of digital transformation, enabling the construction of a more sustainable and inclusive.
Transformations of Digital Marketing in the E-Commerce Environment: An Analytical Study of Contemporary Practice Trends
In recent years, the global economy has undergone profound transformations, particularly in the commercial sphere, positioning digital marketing as a strategic framework that reshapes many practices within the broader e-commerce environment. Accordingly, this study aims to clarify the relationship between the two, analyze the technical and economic characteristics of this environment, and review contemporary trends in digital marketing, while highlighting their role in reshaping traditional marketing models on one hand and their impact on e-commerce on the other. The research adopts a descriptive–analytical approach. The findings reveal that the influence of modern digital marketing practices extends beyond the operational performance of organizations, reaching the very structure of the e-commerce environment itself. This transformation has shifted e-commerce from a mere sales channel to an integrated environment for networked interaction, particularly under the dominance of the Omni-Channel model and artificial intelligence in shaping the digital customer experience.
The Role of E-commerce Websites in Promoting Foreign Trade -A Case Study of Jumia Algeria-
This study aims to highlight the role of Jumia Algeria in supporting and promoting foreign trade by analyzing the opinions of a sample of 150 users of the platform. The research adopted a descriptive approach and case study method, using an online questionnaire for data collection. The results revealed that Jumia contributes to enhancing Algerian consumers’ openness to global markets by offering a wide range of high-quality foreign products. The study also showed that ease of payment and delivery, along with price transparency, are key factors that strengthen users’ trust and encourage online purchasing. Overall, the findings indicate that electronic platforms have become an effective means of developing foreign trade and integrating the Algerian market into the global digital economy.
The Current State of Microfinance at Al-Amal Bank in Yemen
We aim to highlight the status of microfinance at Al-Amal Microfinance Bank in Yemen, which has emerged as a leading model across the Arab region and beyond due to its essential services to a society heavily affected by conflict, poverty, and deprivation. The study finds that the bank plays a pivotal role in supporting development by providing diverse and accessible financing products tailored to all social groups, especially vulnerable and low-income segments, coupled with training programs that enhance the success of beneficiaries’ activities. This approach has contributed to reducing poverty and stimulating economic and social development. Moreover, by promoting a culture of savings under the principle “the poor finance the poor,” the bank has strengthened its financial base and supported the expansion of its loan portfolio
The Reality of Business Incubators and Start-ups in Algeria and their Role in Enhancing the national Economy
This Study explores the critical role of business incubators and startups in strengthening the Algerian economy. Startups are pivotal to economic growth, offering substantial returns relative to thrir low operational costs. They also play a key role in reducing unemployment and accelerating economic development. Business incubators, meanwhile, serve as essential enablers for innovative and creative startups, providing the necessary resources and support to foster their growth and advancement. The study also adopted an applied aspect, represented by a case study of the business incubator of Mohamed Boudiaf University in M'sila, in order to analyze its contributions related to economic projects and the promotion of the national economy. The Study concluded several key findings, the most important of which are that business incubators and startups play a singnificant role in boosting the national economy by investing in successful entrepreneurial ideas through business incubators and transforming them into economic projects. Assitionally, incuators contribute to improving the competitiveness and export capacity of national startups.
Blockchain Integration in Algerian Banks as a Strategic Driver for Enhancing Financial Supply Chain Efficiency: A Field Study within the IFAC Compliance Framework
This study investigates the readiness of Algerian banks to adopt blockchain technology to enhance financial supply chain efficiency. It examine technical, regulatory, economic, and cultural determinants influencing adoption, as well as potential benefits and challenges. Employing a descriptive-analytical approach, data were collected via a questionnaire distributed to 216 bank employees and analyzed using SPSS 26, with hypothesis testing conducted through T-Tests. Results indicate sufficient technical infrastructure and supportive, yet evolving, regulatory conditions. Economic and cultural factors are conducive to adoption, although technical awareness requires improvement. Blockchain implementation is associated with enhanced transparency, faster transactions, and reduced operational costs. The study recommends strengthening digital infrastructure, updating legislation, and improving cybersecurity measures, blockchain adoption represents a strategic move toward modernizing Algeria’s banking sector and aligning it with international standards.
Effectiveness of the Box–Jenkins Methodology in Determining the ARIMA Model for Forecasting Algeria’s Gross Domestic Product up to 2035
This study aims to examine the effectiveness of the Box–Jenkins methodology in identifying the optimal ARIMA model for forecasting Algeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) through 2035, based on official annual data published by the Bank of Algeria. The results indicate that the ARIMA(0,1,1) model is the most appropriate according to statistical criteria. Forecasts suggest that Algeria’s GDP will follow an upward trend during the period 2025–2035, rising from about 42,072.6 billion dinars to 144,627.3 billion dinars. This trend reflects positive growth prospects for the Algerian economy, with the proposed model achieving acceptable long-term accuracy. The findings confirm the effectiveness of the Box–Jenkins methodology as a reliable tool for forecasting economic indicators, enabling policymakers to anticipate future economic directions and adapt policies in line with the projected growth trajectory.
Islamic Windows as a Bridge Towards Islamic Banking in Algeria: An Inductive Study of Organizational and Operational Obstacles and Proposed Solutions
This study examines Islamic banking windows in Algeria as transitional mechanisms toward full Islamic banking. Using an inductive approach, it identifies major challenges, including regulatory gaps, limited Sharia governance, insufficient qualified staff, and weak integration with conventional banking systems, alongside customer perception and competitive pressures. Despite these obstacles, Islamic windows have evolved from experimental initiatives into a growing sector. Data from 2024 indicate their increasing role in mobilizing savings and financing the economy. The sector’s future growth depends on diversifying products, strengthening operational frameworks, and enhancing human and institutional capacities to sustain double-digit expansion and deepen financial inclusion.
Public Expenditure and Economic Growth in Algeria: Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing over the Period 1990–2022
This paper investigates the impact of public expenditure on economic growth in Algeria over the period 1990–2022 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and the Bounds Testing approach. The results reveal that Algeria’s economic growth remains fragile, primarily driven by the hydrocarbon sector, with expansionary fiscal policy failing to ensure sustainable growth. The econometric analysis confirms a long-run cointegrating relationship between public expenditure and GDP. The estimated elasticities of GDP with respect to public expenditure are 0.7125 in the long run and 0.5670 in the short run, while the error correction coefficient (–0.4923) indicates that nearly half of short-term disequilibria are corrected annually. These findings emphasize the need for enhancing fiscal efficiency, improving public spending quality, and promoting economic diversification to achieve stable and sustainable growth in Algeria.
Quality of Life and Sustainable Development - Qatar and Algeria as a Model -
This study aims to highlight the pivotal role of quality of life in supporting the path to sustainable development, by comparing the experiences of Qatar and Algeria. The results of the analysis showed that achieving effective sustainable development requires an integrated trilogy: balanced economic growth, comprehensive social justice, and sound environmental management. While Qatar offers a successful model in linking quality of life to development requirements, Algeria's experience reveals the need for profound structural reforms to achieve this development equation. Hence, the lessons learned from both experiences are important for policymakers in developing economies seeking to promote sustainable human development. The study recommends that quality of life be given a central position in economic and social policies, given its prominent role in promoting sustainability. Quantitative economic growth alone is no longer sufficient; it must be coupled with tangible improvements in indicators of comprehensive human well-being.
Technological Disclosure Research: A Bibliometric Analysis WEB OF SCIENCE 2015/2024
This paper does a bibliometric analysis of technology disclosure research from 2015 to 2024, utilizing data from the Web of Science and Scopus databases to identify significant trends, prominent authors, and major research domains. The findings indicate an increasing scholarly interest in this domain in recent years, with China and the United States at the forefront of research output, and Nanyang Technological University and Harvard University rising as notable institutions. Researchers Yimin Chen and Khaled Hussainey are distinguished for their substantial academic achievements and significant citation effect. The journal Technological Forecasting and Social Change is recognized as the preeminent publication in the subject. Simultaneously, business economics is the primary research emphasis owing to its intrinsic link with innovation management, intellectual property, and market strategies. Moreover, the study encompasses environmental sciences, computer science, and public administration, underscoring the multidisciplinary character of technology disclosure investigations.
The Impact of Professional and Regulatory Factors on the Accuracy of External Auditor Reports Regarding the Going-Concern of a Firm-A Study of a Sample of Auditors in Algeria Province
The going concern assumption represents one of the cornerstones of financial reporting and external auditing, as it directly influences the reliability of financial statements and the confidence of stakeholders. This study examines the extent to which professional and regulatory factors affect the accuracy of external auditors’ opinions regarding an entity’s ability to continue operations. Using a field study based on a sample of 80 auditors, accountants, and financial experts in Algeria, the research analyzes the role of disclosure in audit reports and the influence of variables such as audit firm size, audit fees, industry specialization, auditor independence, experience, and the disclosure practices of audited firms. The results reveal that both disclosure and professional factors play a decisive role in shaping the reliability of continuity assessments. High agreement among respondents emphasizes the responsibility of auditors to disclose continuity concerns in their reports and highlights that firm size, audit fees, auditor independence, and fear of client loss significantly influence the accuracy of such disclosures. The findings underscore the importance of strengthening professional practices, enhancing independence, and improving disclosure standards to ensure that auditors’ reports remain a trustworthy basis for decision-making.
The Role of Maritime Logistics Services in Promoting Foreign Trade: A Case Study of Skikda Port
Logistics services have become one of the key elements that determine the efficiency and effectiveness of ports. Their investment and development, according to technological and economic changes, remain among the most critical success factors in enhancing the performance of foreign trade. This study aims to analyze the performance level of the logistics services provided by the Port of Skikda by examining its infrastructure and performance indicators, particularly the average vessel dwell time, as well as the extent to which modern technology is utilized in port management. Furthermore, the study evaluates the port’s performance in terms of the volume of its commercial activities.
Workplace Training Programme Effectiveness: Perspectives of Employees and Key Stakeholders
Training is a crucial component of growth strategies for businesses and industries, driving adaptability and facilitating change. By improving employee skills, training has a direct impact on productivity and organizational success. In developing countries like Algeria, there is a growing recognition of the importance of preparing workers for professional transitions through effective training initiatives. However, numerous studies have highlighted significant flaws and gaps in the implementation of these programs. Key factors limiting the effectiveness of training include challenges related to design, organization, and evaluation. Understanding these factors requires a detailed analysis of how training is structured, delivered, and assessed. This article explores the effectiveness of corporate training programs, focusing on evaluating training strategies through their engineering phases. Despite support from training departments, many participants express dissatisfaction with certain aspects of the training. Nevertheless, the research uncovers various explanations and offers recommendations to improve the overall effectiveness and impact of corporate training initiatives.
Does the health status converge between Tunisian governorates?
Since independence, Tunisia's healthcare sector has benefitted from development efforts, leading to a sustained improvement in the population's health. However, this progress has not occurred at the same pace across all governorates. Therefore, it is relevant to examine the convergence of health status between Tunisian governorates from 2004 to 2021 focusing on life expectancy at birth as a key indicator of health status. Based on two main concepts of convergence—sigma and beta convergence—we analyze regional disparities in health and assess whether less-advantaged governorates are catching up with more developed ones. We employ a dynamic panel data model estimated using the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The findings reveal conditional beta convergence in life expectancy. Key determinants influencing life expectancy include urbanization and household size, which negatively affect health outcomes. While the density of general practitioners and private physicians per thousand inhabitants positively contribute to improving life expectancy.
The role of start-ups in improving the economy
Start-ups play an essential role in improving the economy thanks to their ability to innovate and create value. They contribute to the creation of skilled jobs, stimulate productivity, and introduce new technologies that modernize traditional sectors. Their dynamism also attracts investment, encourages competition, and strengthens national competitiveness. In developing countries, they promote economic diversification and reduce dependence on natural resources. Despite certain challenges, start-ups remain key actors in economic transformation and sustainable development.